The Strategic Logic of China¿s Economy
Millennial Pathways, Mega-strategy and the World in 2100
- Collana:
- Contributions to Economics
- EAN:
9783031472282
- ISBN:
3031472284
- Pagine:
- 348
- Formato:
- Hardback
- Lingua:
- Tedesco
Descrizione The Strategic Logic of China¿s Economy
This book reviews Chinäs strategic pathway over the last 1000 years and considers its prospects for ascending to high-income status by the end of the 21st century. It analyzes why, although Chinäs chances of joining the global core are sound, they are not outstanding; in addition, it faces mounting challenges, internal and external alike. The argument is presented in the framework of dynamic-strategy theory, which is expounded here in novel form. This exposition includes a wide ranging survey of global history, with a focus on the development of the industrialisation paths of the major economies of today, including a detailed study of Japan's long-run strategic pathway. The book¿s closing section presents a scenario-based discussion of Chinäs potential place in the world in 2100. The analysis implies that Chinäs zenith is likely to be reached slightly before mid-century, after which its relative economic scale will likely decline. Beyond that generalfinding, the scenarios investigate the wide range of plausible outcomes that China may experience: a range that the author contends is much wider for China than for nations under-pinned by less complex political-economies. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars of history, economics, geopolitics and sinology, and to anyone interested in learning about Chinäs economic prospects at a time of increasingly heated ideological and empirical debates.
